Data Stories

Behind the Wall: Understanding Tariff Protection in Pakistan!

Ahmed Jamal Pirzada University of Bristol and Economic Advisory Group (EAG) 13th June 2025

In Pakistan, protecting domestic industry from international competition goes far beyond the use of ordinary customs duties. Policymakers also rely heavily on additional customs duties (ACD) and regulatory duties (RD), which often layer protection on top of the standard rates. The chart shows how these duties vary across different industrial sectors, defined at HS 2-digit level. A few key patterns emerge.

First, the sectors that dominate Pakistan’s industrial base are also the ones most heavily protected. Interestingly, this also includes the high value-added textile segments (HS codes 61 to 64) where average tariff is around 35%.

Second, where protection is high, policymakers tend to deploy all available tools. Sectors with high customs duties also see higher levels of regulatory duties. The positive correlation between CD and RD—estimated at 0.42—suggests a coordinated use of multiple instruments to reinforce tariff barriers in the same sectors.

Third, the sectors with the lowest levels of protection are typically those that supply inputs to industry—such as chemicals, base metals, and raw materials used in high-end textile production.

Understanding how tariffs are structured across sectors is critical to any serious discussion around tariff reform. The government has recently announced a plan to bring down the (simple) average tariff rate from nearly 20% to below 10% over the next five years. But whether this plan succeeds will depend on more than just headline averages.

To be meaningful, tariff reductions must target the most heavily protected sectors, not just those that are already liberalised. Moreover, liberalisation must be accompanied by complementary reforms if the benefits of lower tariffs are to be realised.

Without addressing these deeper patterns of protection, any tariff reform risks being superficial, undermining the credibility of reforms in future.

Increasing reliance on remittances

The share of remittances in GDP for Pakistan has increased from 1% in 2000 to 8% in ‎‎2023. As of 2019, this was one of the highest for countries with a population higher than ‎‎30 million. The three countries which ranked higher were Philippines, Ukraine and ‎Uzbekistan. The increased reliance on remittances mirrors the trend last seen between ‎‎1975 and 1985. While these inflows help sustain consumption, these can also be a ‎source of Dutch disease.‎

Author: Dr. Ahmed Jamal Pirzada